A crystal ball on the Middle East - repost
Six decades ago, just after WWII and before the start of the Cold War, the US War Department conducted a study on long-term threats to global security. The number one threat according to their study? Islamic fundamentalists in the Middle East.
The report is filled with political incorrectness that would today probably lead to lawsuits and sit-ins, but it is also filled with some pretty interesting thoughts.
According to the report – remember it was written long before the terrorist attacks of recent years – paints a picture of a region “full of frustration and discontent”, a region torn apart by two powerful urges: one internal and one, not surprisingly external:
“The Muslims remember the power with which once they not only ruled their own domains but also overpowered half of Europe, yet they are painfully aware of their present economic, cultural, and military impoverishment. Thus a terrific internal pressure is building up in their collective thinking.”The report goes on to conclude that:
“The Muslims intend, by any means possible, to regain political independence and to reap the profits of their own resources, which in recent times and up to the present have been surrendered to the exploitation of foreigners who could provide capital investments. The area, in short, has an inferiority complex, and its activities are thus as unpredictable as those of any individual so motivated.”
The external urge, of course, is supplied by the collective West, who, according to the report “sees itself in the position of the customer who wants to do his shopping in a hurry because he happens to know the store is going to be robbed.”Mmmm.
Add to these two urges a host of divisive issues –everything from a lack of a common language to religious differences, political rivalries and economic disparities, and you have the makings of what the report called “a threat to world peace”.
“If the Muslim states were strong and stable, their behavior would be more predictable. They are, however, weak and torn by internal stresses; furthermore, their peoples are insufficiently educated to appraise propaganda or to understand the motives of those who promise a new Heaven and a new Earth.
Because of the strategic position of the Muslim world and the relentlessness of its peoples, the Muslim states constitute a potential threat to world peace. There cannot be permanent world stability, when one-seventh of the earth's population exists under the economic and political conditions that are imposed upon the Muslims.”Of course some things have changed since 1946, but some things have not. The Middle East is still struggling to “regain political independence and reap the profits of their own resources”, and there are still factions in the region willing to use whatever means possible to do so. Today we call them terrorists; I’m not sure what they were called in ’46.
And, just importantly, the United States and the collective West still view the resources of the Middle East as a vast petrol station they can drive their big SUVs into and coyly holler, “fill ‘er up.”




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